AS Ariana 2-1 Redeyef — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.51
No
51%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.4pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
36%
+13.6pp
51%
BTTS No
64%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Redeyef EU Bookmakers 20%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.98/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.82
+35% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -25%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
429 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
2-1
AWAY Redeyef
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Redeyef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana nicked a narrow win over Redeyef 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AS Ariana as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Ariana had 56% of the ball to Redeyef's 44%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Redeyef?

AS Ariana 2-1 Redeyef in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Redeyef?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 50%, draw 33%, Redeyef 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Ariana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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