Tranmere Rovers 0-2 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.38
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.44
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
8%
6.49
X/2
10%
4.43
X/X
15%
3.78
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
3.2
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
AFC Wimbledon win — 47%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -29%
1.11/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 65%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
18.3 Crosses 25.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
262 Passes 247
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 4-1 HT 2-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
29.04.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
19.11.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
21.12.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
28.03.2015 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
25.10.2014 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 2-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
0-2
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
2.72 xG 1.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
345 Passes 189
73% Pass Accuracy 58%
29 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon beat Tranmere Rovers 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Wimbledon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 59% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 41%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.72 to 1.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tranmere Rovers.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.67 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs AFC Wimbledon?

Tranmere Rovers 0-2 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 27%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Wimbledon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İN2 More England - 2nd Division
26 Nov 2024
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