Almeria 4-0 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
18%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
9%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
20%
4.2
X/2
6%
9.63
X/X
11%
5.77
2/1
7%
21.6
2/2
7%
6.87
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.9
Value flag · 2/X at 14.9 — our 10% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
18%
Away Win
22%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -29%
1.88/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.07
+25% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.6 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cordoba
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
235 Passes 282
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2019 Almeria Almeria 3-1 HT 1-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
06.10.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
20.05.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
16.12.2017 Almeria Almeria 1-0 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
16.04.2017 Cordoba Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
06.11.2016 Almeria Almeria 3-1 HT 3-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
4-0
AWAY Cordoba
2.38 xG 0.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
298 Passes 265
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria cruised past Cordoba 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Almeria had 54% of the ball to Cordoba's 46%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 2.38 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Almeria and 1.00 for Cordoba.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Cordoba?

Almeria 4-0 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Almeria 55%, draw 27%, Cordoba 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almeria) ✗ BTTS Yes
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