Argentinos Juniors 0-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 35% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.65
X/1
18%
3.41
X/2
7%
14.35
X/X
13%
4.98
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
7%
13.2
2/X
7%
21.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.54/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.49
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
25.5 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.95 xG 1.01
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
372 Passes 250
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.04.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-3 HT 3-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
29.11.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
10.07.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
16.07.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-3 HT 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
0-1
AWAY Barracas Central
1.41 xG 0.27
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
295 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central edged past Argentinos Juniors 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Argentinos Juniors carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 58% of the ball to Barracas Central's 42%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.41 to 0.27 — on chances, Argentinos Juniors could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Argentinos Juniors had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 1.25 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Barracas Central?

Argentinos Juniors 0-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 55%, draw 26%, Barracas Central 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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