Police 1-1 KCB Nairobi — Result, Stats & Model Review (Kenya - Premier League, 26 Nov 2024)

Police

1-1 HT 0-1

KCB Nairobi

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗

Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Police vs KCB Nairobi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

37%

2.27

Draw

28%

2.83

Away

35%

3.08

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59%

1.36

Over 2.5

41%

2.96

Both Teams to Score

Yes

48%

2.33

52%

1.53

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

32%

2-3 Goals

47%

4-5 Goals

14%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

24%

1/2

1/X

X/1

X/2

12%

X/X

12%

2/1

2/2

19%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

37%

Home Win

40%

-2.6pp

27%

Draw

31%

-4.0pp

35%

Away Win

29%

+6.6pp

59%

Under 2.5

70%

-11.0pp

41%

Over 2.5

30%

+11.0pp

48%

BTTS Yes

39%

+9.1pp

52%

BTTS No

61%

-9.1pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Police v KCB Nairobi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Police EU Bookmakers 44%

Head to Head

AWAY KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 32%

-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%

1.01/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00

+68% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / –

53% Ball Possession 47%

13 Total Shots 10

4 Shots on Target 4

7 Corners 4

311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

– Yellow Cards –

Police vs KCB Nairobi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Police

0W-1D-0L

AWAY KCB Nairobi

1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00

48% Ball Possession 52%

9 Total Shots 10

4 Shots on Target 3

3 Corners 6

1 Yellow Cards 1

The Meetings

08.03.2022 Police Police

1-1 HT 1-0

KCB Nairobi KEN2

Police 1-1 KCB Nairobi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Police

1-1

AWAY KCB Nairobi

55% Ball Possession 45%

12 Total Shots 6

2 Shots on Target 2

4 Corners 1

2 Yellow Cards 1

POST-MATCH Police vs KCB Nairobi

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police and KCB Nairobi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Police had 55% of the ball to KCB Nairobi's 45%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Police vs KCB Nairobi?

Police 1-1 KCB Nairobi in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs KCB Nairobi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Police 37%, draw 27%, KCB Nairobi 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Police), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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