Santa Ana 2-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.01/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.19
-28% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Ana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Guanacasteca
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Ana KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Ana
2-1
AWAY Guanacasteca
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Ana vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Ana nicked a narrow win over Guanacasteca 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Ana as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Santa Ana had 51% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 49%, shots finished 14-15.

What was the final score of Santa Ana vs Guanacasteca?

Santa Ana 2-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Ana vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Ana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Ana 46%, draw 26%, Guanacasteca 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Ana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Ana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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