Al Adalah 3-2 Al-Jandal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.2pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.0pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Jandal EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.63/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.87
+0% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Adalah
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al-Jandal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2024 Al Adalah Al Adalah 2-0 HT 1-0 Al-Jandal Al-Jandal SUUD1
05.12.2023 Al-Jandal Al-Jandal 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Adalah
3-2
AWAY Al-Jandal
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Adalah vs Al-Jandal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Adalah edged past Al-Jandal 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Adalah as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Adalah had 52% of the ball to Al-Jandal's 48%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Adalah had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Adalah and 0.50 for Al-Jandal.

What was the final score of Al Adalah vs Al-Jandal?

Al Adalah 3-2 Al-Jandal in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Adalah vs Al-Jandal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Adalah win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Adalah 46%, draw 34%, Al-Jandal 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Adalah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Adalah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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