Wrexham 2-0 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Nov 2025

Wrexham
2-0 HT 1-0
Bristol City
📅26/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Wrexham vs Bristol City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.71
1/2
10%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
12%
5.43
X/2
17%
5.9
X/X
17%
4.28
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
9%
4.21
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Bristol City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.54/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.25
-24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
27.7 Crosses 18.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Wrexham vs Bristol City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bristol City
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
The Meetings
16.04.2005 Bristol City Bristol City 1-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
20.11.2004 Wrexham Wrexham 1-3 HT 0-2 Bristol City Bristol City İN1
21.02.2004 Bristol City Bristol City 1-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
18.10.2003 Wrexham Wrexham 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İN1
22.12.2001 Bristol City Bristol City 1-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
09.12.2001 Wrexham Wrexham 0-2 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İN1

Wrexham 2-0 Bristol City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
2-0
AWAY Bristol City
1.04 xG 0.95
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
350 Passes 394
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham saw off Bristol City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Wrexham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wrexham had 48% of the ball to Bristol City's 52%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.04 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Wrexham and 1.33 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Bristol City?

Wrexham 2-0 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 35%, draw 29%, Bristol City 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bristol City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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