Universidad Catolica 4-1 CD Cuenca Jrs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 26 Nov 2025

📅26/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Catolica EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Cuenca Jrs EU Bookmakers 17%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / -74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Catolica
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Cuenca Jrs
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.11.2025 CD Cuenca Jrs 0-0 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica EKVK
POST-MATCH Universidad Catolica vs CD Cuenca Jrs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Catolica cruised past CD Cuenca Jrs 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universidad Catolica as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Universidad Catolica vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

Universidad Catolica 4-1 CD Cuenca Jrs in the Ecuador - Cup on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Catolica vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Universidad Catolica 57%, draw 21%, CD Cuenca Jrs 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Catolica) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Catolica) ✗ BTTS No
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