Modena 1-2 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Dec 2025

Modena
1-2 HT 1-0
Monza
📅26/12/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Modena vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.88
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.7
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.36
X/2
10%
6.19
X/X
12%
3.68
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
19%
4.7
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
1.12/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.10
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.1 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Modena vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Monza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
The Meetings
16.08.2014 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTK

Modena 1-2 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
1-2
AWAY Monza
1.44 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
320 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Modena vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza edged past Modena 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Monza found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Modena had 52% of the ball to Monza's 48%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.44 to 1.21.

What was the final score of Modena vs Monza?

Modena 1-2 Monza in the Italy - Serie B on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Modena 38%, draw 26%, Monza 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Modena), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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