Malkiya 2-0 Bahrain SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.76
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.91 — our 24% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malkiya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahrain SC EU Bookmakers 28%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.23
+67% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -43%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malkiya
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Bahrain SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 2-2 HT 1-2 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
01.12.2024 Malkiya Malkiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malkiya
2-0
AWAY Bahrain SC
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malkiya vs Bahrain SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malkiya got the better of Bahrain SC 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malkiya as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Malkiya had 49% of the ball to Bahrain SC's 51%, shots finished 17-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malkiya and 1.00 for Bahrain SC.

What was the final score of Malkiya vs Bahrain SC?

Malkiya 2-0 Bahrain SC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malkiya vs Bahrain SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malkiya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Malkiya 50%, draw 27%, Bahrain SC 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malkiya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malkiya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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