Hearts of Oak 1-0 Samatex — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
12%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
Over 2.5
24%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.81
No
65%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
53%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
12%
Away Win
16%
-4.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.6pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts of Oak EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Samatex EU Bookmakers 19%
-19% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
0.87/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.17
-32% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts of Oak
1-0
AWAY Samatex
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hearts of Oak vs Samatex
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts of Oak nicked a narrow win over Samatex 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hearts of Oak as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Hearts of Oak had 42% of the ball to Samatex's 58%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Hearts of Oak vs Samatex?

Hearts of Oak 1-0 Samatex in the Gana - Premier League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts of Oak vs Samatex?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts of Oak win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hearts of Oak 58%, draw 30%, Samatex 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts of Oak), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hearts of Oak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →