Al Raed 2-3 Diriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒15:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriyah EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Diriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriyah squeezed past Al Raed 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Diriyah as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Diriyah?

Al Raed 2-3 Diriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Diriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 35%, draw 22%, Diriyah 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriyah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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