Millwall 1-1 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 27 Jan 2024

Millwall
1-1 HT 1-1
Preston North End
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Millwall vs Preston North End Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.45
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.99
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
21%
4.25
X/2
10%
6.89
X/X
15%
3.61
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
8%
5.87
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millwall v Preston North End — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +25%
1.26/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.08
-8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.3 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Millwall vs Preston North End Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Preston North End
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.88 xG 0.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
267 Passes 338
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
15.04.2023 Millwall Millwall 2-0 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
12.11.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 2-4 HT 2-2 Millwall Millwall İNCL
15.04.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
01.02.2022 Millwall Millwall 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
02.03.2021 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 1-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL

Millwall 1-1 Preston North End — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
1-1
AWAY Preston North End
1.77 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
402 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall and Preston North End couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Millwall had 57% of the ball to Preston North End's 43%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.77 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Millwall and 0.83 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Preston North End?

Millwall 1-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Millwall 44%, draw 27%, Preston North End 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Millwall), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
27 Jan 2024
18:00 Sunderland vs Stoke City Analysis →