Lugo 1-0 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.39
6+ Goals
9%
36.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +28%
0.99/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.17
-27% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.85 xG 0.97
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
214 Passes 434
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
05.02.2022 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-1 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo İS2
21.08.2021 Lugo Lugo 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
1-0
AWAY Real Sociedad II
1.19 xG 1.22
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
156 Passes 339
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Crosses 28
8 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo edged past Real Sociedad II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and on the day Lugo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Lugo had 36% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 64%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.19 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lugo and 0.67 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Real Sociedad II?

Lugo 1-0 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lugo 40%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad II 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lugo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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