Bellinzona 0-0 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 27 Jan 2024

Bellinzona
0-0 HT 0-0
Thun
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Bellinzona vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 28% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bellinzona v Thun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
0.96/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.55
-37% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
18.1 Crosses 15.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Bellinzona vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Thun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.66 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 254
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.12.2023 Thun Thun 3-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
25.08.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
23.05.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-0 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2
31.03.2023 Thun Thun 2-0 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
18.11.2022 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-3 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
22.07.2022 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2

Bellinzona 0-0 Thun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-0
AWAY Thun
0.32 xG 0.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
228 Passes 242
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona and Thun played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 49% of the ball to Thun's 51%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.32 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bellinzona and 2.00 for Thun.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Thun?

Bellinzona 0-0 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 37%, draw 24%, Thun 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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