Napoli (K) 2-3 Inter Milano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.95
No
41%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
56%
Away Win
65%
-8.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
47%
+12.0pp
41%
BTTS No
53%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
21.10.2023 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
2-3
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.55 xG 2.61
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
161 Passes 392
62% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 25
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Inter Milano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) squeezed past Napoli (K) 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter Milano (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 36% of the ball to Inter Milano (K)'s 64%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.55 to 2.61.

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Napoli (K) 2-3 Inter Milano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 19%, draw 25%, Inter Milano (K) 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Milano (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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