A. Bilbao (K) 0-1 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 27 Jan 2024

A. Bilbao (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Real Madrid (K)
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar – 2024

A. Bilbao (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.48
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
33%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
19%
+14.3pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.4pp
33%
Away Win
58%
-24.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

A. Bilbao (K) v Real Madrid (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

A. Bilbao (K) 0-1 Real Madrid (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
0-1
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.20 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
352 Passes 441
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 46% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 54%, shots finished 3-9, expected goals 0.20 to 1.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid (K)'s control.

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 0-1 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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