Nijerya 2-0 Kamerun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.03
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.54
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
4%
16.3
X/1
20%
3.83
X/2
14%
7.68
X/X
14%
3.47
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
9%
7.14
2/X
11%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamerun EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.15/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.00
-53% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.4 Crosses 25.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijerya
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kamerun
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.58 xG 1.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
194 Passes 334
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2021 Nijerya Nijerya 0-1 HT 0-1 Kamerun Kamerun HAZ
06.07.2019 Nijerya Nijerya 3-2 HT 1-2 Kamerun Kamerun AFUK
04.09.2017 Kamerun Kamerun 1-1 HT 0-1 Nijerya Nijerya DKE
01.09.2017 Nijerya Nijerya 4-0 HT 2-0 Kamerun Kamerun DKE
11.10.2015 Nijerya Nijerya 3-0 HT 1-0 Kamerun Kamerun HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijerya
2-0
AWAY Kamerun
1.38 xG 0.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
200 Passes 299
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nijerya vs Kamerun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya beat Kamerun 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nijerya as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nijerya had 42% of the ball to Kamerun's 58%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 1.38 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nijerya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Nijerya and 0.80 for Kamerun.

What was the final score of Nijerya vs Kamerun?

Nijerya 2-0 Kamerun in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Kamerun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 42%, draw 30%, Kamerun 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nijerya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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