RB Leipzig (K) 0-2 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.67
Draw
39%
3.54
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
18%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-8.5pp
39%
Draw
25%
+13.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.1pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
0-2
AWAY Freiburg (K)
0.25 xG 2.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
249 Passes 258
63% Pass Accuracy 64%
4 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) got the better of RB Leipzig (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (26% / 39% / 36%) promised a tight game; Freiburg (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 49% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 51%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.25 to 2.62.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 0-2 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 26%, draw 39%, Freiburg (K) 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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