W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 27 Jan 2024

W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-3 HT 1-1
Brisbane Roar (K)
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
40%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-12.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
29%
+11.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
– Crosses 23.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
237 Passes 285
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
28.11.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
20.12.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
04.11.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-3
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.67 xG 3.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 4
243 Passes 277
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
41 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) got the better of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Brisbane Roar (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 48% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 52%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 1.67 to 3.21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.50 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 34%, draw 26%, Brisbane Roar (K) 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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