Al-Taawon 3-1 Masafi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Taawon EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Masafi EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.01/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.59
-21% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Taawon
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Masafi
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
6 Corners 6
10.09.2023 Masafi Masafi 0-0 HT 0-0 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
21.01.2023 Masafi Masafi 1-2 HT 1-0 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
11.09.2022 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 2-0 HT 0-0 Masafi Masafi BAE2
06.03.2022 Masafi Masafi 2-1 HT 1-1 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
19.11.2021 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 3-1 HT 1-1 Masafi Masafi BAE2
POST-MATCH Al-Taawon vs Masafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Taawon got the better of Masafi 3-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al-Taawon found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al-Taawon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Al-Taawon and 0.80 for Masafi.

What was the final score of Al-Taawon vs Masafi?

Al-Taawon 3-1 Masafi in the UAE - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Taawon vs Masafi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Masafi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al-Taawon 37%, draw 23%, Masafi 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Masafi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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