Western Knights 4-5 Perth RedStar FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL West Gece Serisi, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.2pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Knights EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth RedStar FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Western Knights vs Perth RedStar FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth RedStar FC squeezed past Western Knights 5-4 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Western Knights at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Western Knights vs Perth RedStar FC?

Western Knights 4-5 Perth RedStar FC in the Australia - NPL West Gece Serisi on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Knights vs Perth RedStar FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Western Knights 47%, draw 21%, Perth RedStar FC 32%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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