RFC Seraing 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

RFC Seraing
1-1 HT 1-0
Lierse Kempenzonen
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

RFC Seraing vs Lierse Kempenzonen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.16
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
16%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RFC Seraing v Lierse Kempenzonen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
2.09/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.50
+3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.2 Crosses 23.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

RFC Seraing vs Lierse Kempenzonen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.83 xG 1.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 Passes 226
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
17.04.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-0 HT 0-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
28.02.2021 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 HT 0-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
07.11.2020 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
27.09.2020 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-5 HT 0-2 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2

RFC Seraing 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
1-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.47 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
301 Passes 266
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Seraing and Lierse Kempenzonen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was RFC Seraing at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 51% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 49%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.47 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for RFC Seraing and 1.20 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

RFC Seraing 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Seraing win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 41%, draw 25%, Lierse Kempenzonen 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RFC Seraing), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RFC Seraing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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