Sporting Charleroi 1-4 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
49%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.15
1/2
7%
22.6
1/X
9%
17.95
X/1
7%
12.7
X/2
18%
3.61
X/X
7%
5.83
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
23%
1.82
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
17.1
Value flag · 2/X at 17.1 — our 12% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
48%
Away Win
63%
-14.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 67%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.13/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.97
-17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
17.7 Crosses 20.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.11 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
336 Passes 429
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-2 HT 2-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
22.01.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
26.08.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
13.02.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
18.09.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
12.03.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-4
AWAY Club Brugge
1.46 xG 2.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
429 Passes 401
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge swept aside Sporting Charleroi 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 52% of the ball to Club Brugge's 48%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.46 to 2.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 2.17 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Club Brugge?

Sporting Charleroi 1-4 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 24%, draw 27%, Club Brugge 48%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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