27/01/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
TAFIC vs Matebele Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
36%
4-5
16%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
31%
30%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
TAFIC v Matebele — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
TAFIC
The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Matebele
The Market 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
4
335 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
352 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
TAFIC vs Matebele
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
TAFIC edged past Matebele 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; TAFIC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of TAFIC vs Matebele?
TAFIC 1-0 Matebele in the Bostvana - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for TAFIC vs Matebele?
Before kick-off our model rated a TAFIC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split TAFIC 38%, draw 30%, Matebele 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TAFIC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (TAFIC)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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