Paranoa vs Ceilandense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paranoa v Ceilandense — Team-Based Signals
Paranoa 4-3 Ceilandense — Actual Match Statistics
Paranoa nicked a narrow win over Ceilandense 4-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Ceilandense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Paranoa had 54% of the ball to Ceilandense's 46%, shots finished 15-13.
What was the final score of Paranoa vs Ceilandense?
Paranoa 4-3 Ceilandense in the Brazil - Brasiliense on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paranoa vs Ceilandense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ceilandense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paranoa 31%, draw 22%, Ceilandense 46%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ceilandense) went the other way.