Paranoa vs Ceilandense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Paranoa 4-3 Ceilandense — Actual Match Statistics
Paranoa nicked a narrow win over Ceilandense 4-3. The 0-2 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paranoa as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Paranoa's favour, shots finished 15-13.
Paranoa vs Ceilandense Result & Final Score
Paranoa 4 - 3 Ceilandense in the Brazil - Brasiliense on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Paranoa vs Ceilandense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Paranoa win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Paranoa 66%, draw 15%, Ceilandense 19%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paranoa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.