Botafogo 2-0 Sampaio Correa RJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Carioca 1, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
No
68%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+12.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
51%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampaio Correa RJ EU Bookmakers 55%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
2-0
AWAY Sampaio Correa RJ
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Sampaio Correa RJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo got the better of Sampaio Correa RJ 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Botafogo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Botafogo had 55% of the ball to Sampaio Correa RJ's 45%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Sampaio Correa RJ?

Botafogo 2-0 Sampaio Correa RJ in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Sampaio Correa RJ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sampaio Correa RJ win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 34%, draw 27%, Sampaio Correa RJ 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sampaio Correa RJ) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampaio Correa RJ) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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