Nova Venécia vs Vitoria ES Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nova Venécia v Vitoria ES — Team-Based Signals
Nova Venécia vs Vitoria ES Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nova Venécia and Vitoria ES shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Nova Venécia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nova Venécia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nova Venécia and 1.33 for Vitoria ES.
What was the final score of Nova Venécia vs Vitoria ES?
Nova Venécia 2-2 Vitoria ES in the Brazil - Capixaba on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nova Venécia vs Vitoria ES?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nova Venécia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nova Venécia 48%, draw 29%, Vitoria ES 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nova Venécia), Under 2.5 went the other way.