27/01/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Ivinhema vs Corumbaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
47%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Ivinhema win — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
57%
Home Win
61%
28%
Draw
23%
15%
Away Win
16%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ivinhema v Corumbaense — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ivinhema
The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Corumbaense
The Market 19%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
380 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
298 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ivinhema vs Corumbaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ivinhema and Corumbaense couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
This one beat our numbers. Ivinhema carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Ivinhema vs Corumbaense?
Ivinhema 2-2 Corumbaense in the Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ivinhema vs Corumbaense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ivinhema win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ivinhema 57%, draw 28%, Corumbaense 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ivinhema), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ivinhema)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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