27/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Tigre Noir vs Rukinzo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
20%
Draw
25%
35%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigre Noir v Rukinzo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tigre Noir
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rukinzo
EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
388 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
247 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tigre Noir vs Rukinzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tigre Noir edged past Rukinzo 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigre Noir as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Tigre Noir vs Rukinzo?
Tigre Noir 1-0 Rukinzo in the Burundi - League A on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigre Noir vs Rukinzo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigre Noir win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tigre Noir 45%, draw 20%, Rukinzo 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigre Noir) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Tigre Noir)
✗ BTTS Yes
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BUR
More Burundi - League A
27 Jan 2024