JS Kabylie 3-2 US Souf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.27
Draw
28%
4.95
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.81
No
55%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.05
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
75%
-19.0pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.7pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.8pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JS Kabylie EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY US Souf EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.38/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/2.38
-24% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
443 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JS Kabylie
3-2
AWAY US Souf
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JS Kabylie vs US Souf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JS Kabylie nicked a narrow win over US Souf 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had JS Kabylie as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JS Kabylie had 64% of the ball to US Souf's 36%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of JS Kabylie vs US Souf?

JS Kabylie 3-2 US Souf in the Algeria - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JS Kabylie vs US Souf?

Before kick-off our model rated a JS Kabylie win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split JS Kabylie 56%, draw 27%, US Souf 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JS Kabylie) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JS Kabylie) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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