27/01/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Chamalieres vs Frejus St-Raphael Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
41%
4-5
20%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
26%
31%
Draw
27%
30%
Away Win
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chamalieres v Frejus St-Raphael — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chamalieres
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Frejus St-Raphael
The Market 51%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
306 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
381 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chamalieres vs Frejus St-Raphael
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chamalieres edged past Frejus St-Raphael 2-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Chamalieres found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Chamalieres vs Frejus St-Raphael?
Chamalieres 2-1 Frejus St-Raphael in the France - National League 2 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chamalieres vs Frejus St-Raphael?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chamalieres win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chamalieres 38%, draw 31%, Frejus St-Raphael 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chamalieres) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chamalieres)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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More France - National League 2
27 Jan 2024