27/01/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Chauray vs Le Poire-Sur-Vie Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
51%
Home Win
54%
25%
Draw
28%
24%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chauray v Le Poire-Sur-Vie — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chauray
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Le Poire-Sur-Vie
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+73% /
+73%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+88%
/
+150%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
324 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
327 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chauray vs Le Poire-Sur-Vie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Le Poire-Sur-Vie swept aside Chauray 3-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Chauray at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Chauray vs Le Poire-Sur-Vie?
Chauray 0-3 Le Poire-Sur-Vie in the France - National League 3 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chauray vs Le Poire-Sur-Vie?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chauray win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chauray 51%, draw 25%, Le Poire-Sur-Vie 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chauray), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Chauray)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
FRUL3
More France - National League 3
27 Jan 2024