Universidad San Carlos 1-0 Cuilapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
49%
4-5
12%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad San Carlos The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuilapa The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad San Carlos
1-0
AWAY Cuilapa
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Universidad San Carlos vs Cuilapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad San Carlos squeezed past Cuilapa 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universidad San Carlos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Universidad San Carlos had 68% of the ball to Cuilapa's 32%, shots finished 23-7.

What was the final score of Universidad San Carlos vs Cuilapa?

Universidad San Carlos 1-0 Cuilapa in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad San Carlos vs Cuilapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Universidad San Carlos 42%, draw 24%, Cuilapa 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad San Carlos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad San Carlos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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