Guastatoya 6-0 Zacapa Tellioz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.66/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.76
+3% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-1 HT 1-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
07.12.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 1-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
11.09.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 2-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.08.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-1 HT 0-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guastatoya
6-0
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Zacapa Tellioz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya ran out comfortable winners over Zacapa Tellioz 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guastatoya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Guastatoya had 46% of the ball to Zacapa Tellioz's 54%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zacapa Tellioz led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Guastatoya and 1.25 for Zacapa Tellioz.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Guastatoya 6-0 Zacapa Tellioz in the Guatemala - National League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 52%, draw 29%, Zacapa Tellioz 20%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guastatoya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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