Gomel 3-0 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -43%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.08.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-4 HT 0-2 Gomel Gomel BLR
17.04.2022 Gomel Gomel 3-1 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
20.07.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
3-0
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel swept aside Dnepr Mogilev 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gomel as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gomel had 37% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 63%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gomel had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Gomel and 0.67 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Gomel 3-0 Dnepr Mogilev in the Friendlies on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gomel 51%, draw 20%, Dnepr Mogilev 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gomel), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gomel) ✓ BTTS No
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