Ajax (K) 1-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
21%
Over 2.5
79%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.56
No
36%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.4pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.0pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 6
22.10.2023 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
1-1
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) and Fortuna Sittard (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ajax (K) at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (79%) missed.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 65% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard (K)'s 35%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Ajax (K) 1-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 58%, draw 16%, Fortuna Sittard (K) 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLK1 More Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie
27 Jan 2024
16:00 Utrecht (K) vs Telstar (K) Analysis →
18:30 Feyenoord (K) vs Twente (K) Analysis →