Balzan FC 1-7 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
52%
Away Win
62%
-9.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.2pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 66%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.60/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.48
-26% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +55%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
219 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
06.11.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
22.01.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
1-7
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans cruised past Balzan FC 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Balzan FC had 45% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 55%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Balzan FC and 1.33 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Balzan FC 1-7 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 20%, draw 28%, Hamrun Spartans 52%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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