Alverca U19 1-0 Lusitania U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Youth U19, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
48%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
73%
-19.4pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.3pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca U19 The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania U19 The Market 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca U19
1-0
AWAY Lusitania U19
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Alverca U19 vs Lusitania U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca U19 squeezed past Lusitania U19 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alverca U19 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alverca U19 had 41% of the ball to Lusitania U19's 59%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Alverca U19 vs Lusitania U19?

Alverca U19 1-0 Lusitania U19 in the Portugal - Youth U19 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alverca U19 vs Lusitania U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alverca U19 54%, draw 25%, Lusitania U19 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alverca U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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