Gasogi United 0-1 AS Kigali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.89
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Gasogi United win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
49%
+5.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gasogi United The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Kigali The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gasogi United vs AS Kigali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Kigali edged past Gasogi United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gasogi United at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Gasogi United vs AS Kigali?

Gasogi United 0-1 AS Kigali in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gasogi United vs AS Kigali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gasogi United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gasogi United 55%, draw 18%, AS Kigali 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gasogi United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gasogi United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →