Van Spor FK 3-1 Serik Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +66%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Van Spor FK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Serik Belediyespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Serik Belediyespor 0-2 HT 0-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-B
23.04.2023 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 2-2 HT 1-2 Serik Belediyespor S2-K
20.11.2022 Serik Belediyespor 2-4 HT 2-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-K
10.10.2021 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Serik Belediyespor S2-K
07.04.2021 Serik Belediyespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
03.12.2020 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 2-2 HT 1-0 Serik Belediyespor T2L-K
POST-MATCH Van Spor FK vs Serik Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK saw off Serik Belediyespor 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Van Spor FK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Van Spor FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Van Spor FK and 1.17 for Serik Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Van Spor FK vs Serik Belediyespor?

Van Spor FK 3-1 Serik Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Van Spor FK vs Serik Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Van Spor FK 48%, draw 24%, Serik Belediyespor 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Van Spor FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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