27/01/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Folgore vs La Fiorita Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
49%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
72%
26%
Draw
16%
23%
Away Win
12%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Folgore v La Fiorita — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Folgore
The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
La Fiorita
The Market 15%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
443 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
270 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Folgore vs La Fiorita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Folgore edged past La Fiorita 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Folgore as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Folgore vs La Fiorita?
Folgore 1-0 La Fiorita in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Folgore vs La Fiorita?
Before kick-off our model rated a Folgore win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Folgore 50%, draw 26%, La Fiorita 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Folgore) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Folgore)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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