Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
No
67%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
29%
-7.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
335 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-0 HT 0-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
27.08.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 0-0 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
23.10.2021 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 2-3 HT 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1-0
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor edged past Bucaspor 1928 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 40% of the ball to Bucaspor 1928's 60%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karacabey Belediye Spor and 1.00 for Bucaspor 1928.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 55%, draw 22%, Bucaspor 1928 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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