27/01/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Iğdır FK vs 24Erzincanspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
31%
Draw
27%
26%
Away Win
20%
53%
Under 2.5
59%
47%
Over 2.5
41%
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
51%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Iğdır FK v 24Erzincanspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Iğdır FK
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
24Erzincanspor
EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+11% /
+11%
1.49/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.07/1.19
+1%
/
-11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+29%
/
+10%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
372 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
240 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
Iğdır FK vs 24Erzincanspor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Iğdır FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
24Erzincanspor
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
3
Corners
3
The Meetings
10.09.2023
24Erzincanspor
2-0
HT 0-0
Iğdır FK
T2L-K
2-0
HT 0-0
Iğdır FK
T2L-K
POST-MATCH
Iğdır FK vs 24Erzincanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Iğdır FK cruised past 24Erzincanspor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Iğdır FK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs 24Erzincanspor?
Iğdır FK 3-0 24Erzincanspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs 24Erzincanspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 42%, draw 31%, 24Erzincanspor 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iğdır FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Iğdır FK)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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T2L-K
More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
27 Jan 2024