27/01/2024
·
16:05
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Tma FC vs Pan African FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
37%
26%
Draw
30%
29%
Away Win
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tma FC v Pan African FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tma FC
The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Pan African FC
The Market 36%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
313 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
324 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tma FC vs Pan African FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tma FC swept aside Pan African FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tma FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Tma FC vs Pan African FC?
Tma FC 3-0 Pan African FC in the Tanzanya - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tma FC vs Pan African FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tma FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tma FC 45%, draw 26%, Pan African FC 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tma FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Tma FC)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TAN1L
More Tanzanya - 1st Division
27 Jan 2024