Burnley 0-0 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 27 Jan 2025

Burnley
0-0 HT 0-0
Leeds United
📅27/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Burnley vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.92
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.91
1/2
12%
32.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
11%
6.09
X/2
12%
4.8
X/X
14%
3.82
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.42
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
0.64/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.14
-8% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
27.0 Crosses 18.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Burnley vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leeds United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 1.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
229 Passes 375
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 0-1 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL
02.01.2022 Leeds United Leeds United 3-1 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
29.08.2021 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
15.05.2021 Burnley Burnley 0-4 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
27.12.2020 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
19.09.2017 Burnley Burnley 2-2 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNLK

Burnley 0-0 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
0-0
AWAY Leeds United
0.19 xG 0.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
324 Passes 432
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Burnley vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley and Leeds United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Burnley had 45% of the ball to Leeds United's 55%, shots finished 4-8, expected goals 0.19 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burnley and 1.83 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Burnley vs Leeds United?

Burnley 0-0 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Burnley 32%, draw 28%, Leeds United 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leeds United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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