Bologna U20 1-3 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.58/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.98
-5% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +79%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 3-1 HT 2-0 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna U20
1-3
AWAY Fiorentina U20
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bologna U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 saw off Bologna U20 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Bologna U20 had 40% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 60%, shots finished 3-15.

What was the final score of Bologna U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Bologna U20 1-3 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bologna U20 31%, draw 21%, Fiorentina U20 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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