Baniyas SC 0-1 Al Sharjah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
53%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
8%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 25% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-9.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 67%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.19/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/0.00
-76% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baniyas SC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Sharjah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.75 xG 1.89
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
10.05.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
28.10.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 5-0 HT 3-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
04.02.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
26.11.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 2-3 HT 1-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAELK
11.10.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baniyas SC
0-1
AWAY Al Sharjah
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baniyas SC vs Al Sharjah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sharjah nicked a narrow win over Baniyas SC 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Sharjah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Baniyas SC had 45% of the ball to Al Sharjah's 55%, shots finished 4-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baniyas SC and 3.50 for Al Sharjah.

What was the final score of Baniyas SC vs Al Sharjah?

Baniyas SC 0-1 Al Sharjah in the UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baniyas SC vs Al Sharjah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Baniyas SC 20%, draw 27%, Al Sharjah 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sharjah), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✓ Under 2.5
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