Aston Villa U21 3-3 Fulham U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.46
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
Over Pick
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.29
No
47%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1
13%
2-3
44%
4-5
27%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
37%
+8.6pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
73%
-20.4pp
47%
BTTS No
27%
+20.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham U21 The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.0
Crosses 13.8
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
3-3
AWAY Fulham U21
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
268 Passes 527
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Fulham U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U21 and Fulham U21 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 35% of the ball to Fulham U21's 65%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Fulham U21?

Aston Villa U21 3-3 Fulham U21 in the INGPL2 on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Fulham U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 46%, draw 18%, Fulham U21 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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